Qualification · Qualification 58
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
186.98 – 83.89
78%22%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
176 – 151
Prediction correct · off by 39 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 332.1 ±11.7
Season APEX 164.9Event APEX 112.01Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 141.2Event APEX 70.11Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 26Event APEX 4.86Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 260.3 ±11.6
Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 23.51Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 31.34Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 74.8Event APEX 29.04Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7667, 1967, 5430
75
/ 100 compatProjected
187 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 7667, 1967, 5430
Auto
38.2 20%
Teleop
104.9 54%
Endgame
50.1 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 701, 3189, 5274
49
/ 100 compatProjected
83.9 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 701, 3189, 5274
Auto
26.9 30%
Teleop
39.7 44%
Endgame
22.9 26%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.13 · Blue 0.92
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score187pts
Blue projected score83.9pts
Red win probability78%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 45%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 103.1
- Score range
- 58–213
- Upset likelihood
- 22%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
332.1Season APEX260.3
38.2Auto26.9
104.9Teleop39.7
50.1Endgame22.9
21Consistency71
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 24 |
| teleop | 93 | 75 |
| endgame | 64 | 52 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 176 | 151 |
Result
Final score
176 – 151
Prediction correct · off by 39 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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