Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

157.95 – 151.75

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

108 – 174

Prediction missed · off by 36.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 225.9 ±12.1

751barn2robotics

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 22.37Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2141Spartronics

Season APEX 52Event APEX 37Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6619GravitechX

Season APEX 120.5Event APEX 98.58Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 284.2 ±12.2

7137Project 212

Season APEX 135.5Event APEX 63.39Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8016Eco Robotics

Season APEX 72.6Event APEX 42.88Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3669CarbonKnights

Season APEX 76.1Event APEX 45.48Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 751, 2141, 6619

/ 100 compat

Projected

158 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 751, 2141, 6619

Auto

31.1 20%

Teleop

89.7 57%

Endgame

37.4 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7137, 8016, 3669

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.8 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7137, 8016, 3669

Auto

32.2 21%

Teleop

74.4 50%

Endgame

43.4 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score158pts

Blue projected score151.8pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 6.2
Score range: 126–184
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 282 vs event baseline 144.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

225.9Season APEX284.2

31.1Auto32.2

89.7Teleop74.4

37.4Endgame43.4

0Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	27
teleop	51	88
endgame	26	44
foul	0	15
total	108	174

Result

Final score

108 – 174

Prediction missed · off by 36.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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