Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

248.33 – 34.26

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

308 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 32.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 375.5 ±11

253Boba Bots

Season APEX 108Event APEX 37.16Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5507Robotic Eagles

Season APEX 215.5Event APEX 177.92Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2141Spartronics

Season APEX 52Event APEX 33.25Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 247.9 ±13.3

8404SKYWALKERS

Season APEX 41.1Event APEX 24.38Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11463SHC Robotics

Season APEX 144.2Event APEX 2.29Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11243Cyber Knights

Season APEX 62.6Event APEX 7.59Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 253, 5507, 2141

/ 100 compat

Projected

248.3 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 253, 5507, 2141

Auto

42.2 18%

Teleop

146.2 64%

Endgame

40.4 18%

Strengths

· 5507 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8404, 11463, 11243

/ 100 compat

Projected

34.3 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8404, 11463, 11243

Auto

11.4 41%

Teleop

-0.3 0%

Endgame

17.0 60%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.47 · Blue 0.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score248.3pts

Blue projected score34.3pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 214.1
Score range: 9–273
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 347 vs event baseline 140.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

375.5Season APEX247.9

42.2Auto11.4

146.2Teleop-0.3

40.4Endgame17

70Consistency48

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	23
teleop	206	16
endgame	52	0
foul	0	0
total	308	39

Result

Final score

308 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 32.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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