Qualification · Qualification 48
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
54.1 – 144.64
24%76%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
86 – 272
Prediction correct · off by 79.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 203.2 ±12.8
Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 16.17Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 36.9Event APEX 15.97Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 21.96Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 332 ±12.2
Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 4.86Rank 35Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 181.9Event APEX 106.57Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 73Event APEX 33.21Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2288, 3482, 701
36
/ 100 compatProjected
54.1 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 2288, 3482, 701
Auto
16.1 34%
Teleop
21.8 45%
Endgame
10.1 21%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9125, 8048, 5458
66
/ 100 compatProjected
144.6 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 9125, 8048, 5458
Auto
36.2 26%
Teleop
76.8 56%
Endgame
24.6 18%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.9 · Blue 1.97
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score54.1pts
Blue projected score144.6pts
Red win probability24%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 42%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -90.5
- Score range
- 29–170
- Upset likelihood
- 24%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
203.2Season APEX332
16.1Auto36.2
21.8Teleop76.8
10.1Endgame24.6
18Consistency75
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 18 | 59 |
| teleop | 46 | 160 |
| endgame | 22 | 53 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 86 | 272 |
Result
Final score
86 – 272
Prediction correct · off by 79.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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