Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

152.35 – 86.64

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

173 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 19.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 417.1 ±11

11463SHC Robotics

Season APEX 144.2Event APEX 1.12Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

253Boba Bots

Season APEX 108Event APEX 38.03Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7667OtterBots

Season APEX 164.9Event APEX 113.2Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 175.8 ±12.7

1458Red Tie Robotics

Season APEX 81.3Event APEX 46.98Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

751barn2robotics

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 18.91Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8404SKYWALKERS

Season APEX 41.1Event APEX 20.75Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11463, 253, 7667

/ 100 compat

Projected

152.4 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11463, 253, 7667

Auto

28.9 19%

Teleop

73.0 48%

Endgame

51.6 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1458, 751, 8404

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1458, 751, 8404

Auto

14.0 18%

Teleop

24.7 31%

Endgame

40.3 51%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.96 · Blue 1.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score152.4pts

Blue projected score86.6pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 65.7
Score range: 62–177
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 278 vs event baseline 141.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

417.1Season APEX175.8

28.9Auto14

73Teleop24.7

51.6Endgame40.3

89Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	26
teleop	103	46
endgame	40	33
foul	0	0
total	173	105

Result

Final score

173 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 19.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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