Qualification · Qualification 46
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
50.32 – 230.87
10%90%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
45 – 320
Prediction correct · off by 47.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 166.5 ±13.9
Season APEX 62.6Event APEX 12.15Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 9.93Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 47.5Event APEX 28.24Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 388.1 ±11
Season APEX 141.2Event APEX 67.31Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 31.4Event APEX -3.46Rank 25Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 215.5Event APEX 167.02Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 11243, 8840, 5728
32
/ 100 compatProjected
50.3 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 11243, 8840, 5728
Auto
16.5 37%
Teleop
14.6 33%
Endgame
13.2 30%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1967, 5924, 5507
82
/ 100 compatProjected
230.9 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 1967, 5924, 5507
Auto
47.8 22%
Teleop
141.3 65%
Endgame
27.8 13%
Strengths
- · 5507 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.67 · Blue 2.43
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score50.3pts
Blue projected score230.9pts
Red win probability10%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 58%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -180.5
- Score range
- 25–256
- Upset likelihood
- 10%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
166.5Season APEX388.1
16.5Auto47.8
14.6Teleop141.3
13.2Endgame27.8
22Consistency98
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 11 | 58 |
| teleop | 18 | 225 |
| endgame | 16 | 37 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 45 | 320 |
Result
Final score
45 – 320
Prediction correct · off by 47.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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