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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

50.32230.87

10%90%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

45320

Prediction correct · off by 47.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 166.5 ±13.9
Season APEX 62.6Event APEX 12.15Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 9.93Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 47.5Event APEX 28.24Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 388.1 ±11
Season APEX 141.2Event APEX 67.31Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 31.4Event APEX -3.46Rank 25Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 215.5Event APEX 167.02Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11243, 8840, 5728
32
/ 100 compat
Projected
50.3 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 11243, 8840, 5728
Auto
16.5 37%
Teleop
14.6 33%
Endgame
13.2 30%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1967, 5924, 5507
82
/ 100 compat
Projected
230.9 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 1967, 5924, 5507
Auto
47.8 22%
Teleop
141.3 65%
Endgame
27.8 13%
Strengths
  • · 5507 anchors offense
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.67 · Blue 2.43
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score50.3pts
Blue projected score230.9pts
Red win probability10%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 58%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-180.5
Score range
25256
Upset likelihood
10%
Data cutoff
2026-08-16
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 365 vs event baseline 140.1.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

166.5Season APEX388.1
16.5Auto47.8
14.6Teleop141.3
13.2Endgame27.8
22Consistency98

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto1158
teleop18225
endgame1637
foul00
total45320

Result

Final score

45320

Prediction correct · off by 47.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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