Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

215.52 – 71.54

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

281 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 53 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 354.4 ±11.7

7667OtterBots

Season APEX 164.9Event APEX 108.32Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6662FalconX

Season APEX 84.9Event APEX 11.85Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4159CardinalBotics

Season APEX 104.6Event APEX 95.35Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 229.2 ±13.3

3669CarbonKnights

Season APEX 76.1Event APEX 42.37Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10212Circuit Bakers

Season APEX 62.8Event APEX 1.99Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3189Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 27.18Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7667, 6662, 4159

/ 100 compat

Projected

215.5 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7667, 6662, 4159

Auto

40.0 19%

Teleop

116.9 54%

Endgame

57.6 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3669, 10212, 3189

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3669, 10212, 3189

Auto

32.9 41%

Teleop

27.3 34%

Endgame

19.1 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.21 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score215.5pts

Blue projected score71.5pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 144
Score range: 47–241
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 393 vs event baseline 138.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

354.4Season APEX229.2

40Auto32.9

116.9Teleop27.3

57.6Endgame19.1

74Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	25
teleop	160	55
endgame	70	32
foul	0	0
total	281	112

Result

Final score

281 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 53 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.