Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

118.32 – 157.62

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

74 – 134

Prediction correct · off by 34 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 169.2 ±13.3

2141Spartronics

Season APEX 52Event APEX 39.98Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3669CarbonKnights

Season APEX 76.1Event APEX 45.43Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8404SKYWALKERS

Season APEX 41.1Event APEX 32.91Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 312.8 ±11.6

3189Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 31.61Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1458Red Tie Robotics

Season APEX 81.3Event APEX 55.36Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1967The Janksters

Season APEX 141.2Event APEX 70.65Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2141, 3669, 8404

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 2141, 3669, 8404

Auto

28.8 26%

Teleop

47.9 43%

Endgame

35.4 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3189, 1458, 1967

/ 100 compat

Projected

157.6 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3189, 1458, 1967

Auto

30.8 20%

Teleop

99.5 64%

Endgame

25.7 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.27 · Blue 1.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score118.3pts

Blue projected score157.6pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -39.3
Score range: 93–183
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 208 vs event baseline 138.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

169.2Season APEX312.8

28.8Auto30.8

47.9Teleop99.5

35.4Endgame25.7

25Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	37
teleop	21	61
endgame	12	36
foul	0	0
total	74	134

Result

Final score

74 – 134

Prediction correct · off by 34 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.