Qualification · Qualification 36
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
200.34 – 0
93%7%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
258 – 75
Prediction correct · off by 66.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 320.3 ±12.2
Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 11.69Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 120.5Event APEX 97.3Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 104.6Event APEX 91.35Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 278.1 ±13.3
Season APEX 144.2Event APEX -8.88Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 6.67Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 62.8Event APEX -4.2Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 701, 6619, 4159
79
/ 100 compatProjected
200.3 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 701, 6619, 4159
Auto
35.3 18%
Teleop
136.7 68%
Endgame
28.9 14%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11463, 2288, 10212
1
/ 100 compatProjected
-6.4 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 11463, 2288, 10212
Auto
10.2 100%
Teleop
-19.5 0%
Endgame
10.4 100%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.46 · Blue 0.55
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score200.3pts
Blue projected score-6.4pts
Red win probability93%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 37%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 200.3
- Score range
- -25–225
- Upset likelihood
- 7%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
320.3Season APEX278.1
35.3Auto10.2
136.7Teleop-19.5
28.9Endgame10.4
87Consistency47
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 53 | 13 |
| teleop | 151 | 51 |
| endgame | 54 | 11 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 258 | 75 |
Result
Final score
258 – 75
Prediction correct · off by 66.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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