Qualification · Qualification 33
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
71.84 – 70.08
51%49%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
77 – 64
Prediction correct · off by 5.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 157.4 ±12.1
Season APEX 31.4Event APEX 1.23Rank 25Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 30.58Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 72.6Event APEX 40.03Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 270 ±11.7
Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 15.95Rank 35Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 84.9Event APEX 19.8Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 108Event APEX 34.33Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5924, 751, 8016
39
/ 100 compatProjected
71.8 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 5924, 751, 8016
Auto
31.0 39%
Teleop
32.0 41%
Endgame
15.9 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9125, 6662, 253
44
/ 100 compatProjected
70.1 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 9125, 6662, 253
Auto
12.4 21%
Teleop
37.4 62%
Endgame
10.2 17%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.49 · Blue 1.36
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score71.8pts
Blue projected score70.1pts
Red win probability51%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 44%, blue 33%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 1.8
- Score range
- 45–97
- Upset likelihood
- 49%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
157.4Season APEX270
31Auto12.4
32Teleop37.4
15.9Endgame10.2
61Consistency117
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 30 | 33 |
| teleop | 34 | 16 |
| endgame | 13 | 15 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 77 | 64 |
Result
Final score
77 – 64
Prediction correct · off by 5.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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