Qualification · Qualification 29
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
178.54 – 32.43
86%14%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
212 – 45
Prediction correct · off by 23 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 435.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 22.94Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 305.7Event APEX 110.27Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 76.1Event APEX 45.33Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 109.4 ±13.3
Season APEX 36.9Event APEX -3.45Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 41.1Event APEX 39.98Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 31.4Event APEX -4.1Rank 25Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 751, 8, 3669
64
/ 100 compatProjected
178.5 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 751, 8, 3669
Auto
24.7 14%
Teleop
130.5 73%
Endgame
24.2 13%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3482, 8404, 5924
11
/ 100 compatProjected
32.4 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 3482, 8404, 5924
Auto
16.1 89%
Teleop
4.1 23%
Endgame
-2.1 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.25 · Blue 0.79
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score178.5pts
Blue projected score32.4pts
Red win probability86%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 146.1
- Score range
- 6–205
- Upset likelihood
- 14%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
435.2Season APEX109.4
24.7Auto16.1
130.5Teleop4.1
24.2Endgame-2.1
51Consistency62
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 52 | 21 |
| teleop | 100 | 9 |
| endgame | 60 | 15 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 212 | 45 |
Result
Final score
212 – 45
Prediction correct · off by 23 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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