Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

176.62 – 55.65

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

109 – 43

Prediction correct · off by 40.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 291.1 ±12.2

6619GravitechX

Season APEX 120.5Event APEX 107.61Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

253Boba Bots

Season APEX 108Event APEX 50.21Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11243Cyber Knights

Season APEX 62.6Event APEX 18.8Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 146.2 ±12.8

7777Septobots

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 22.44Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6662FalconX

Season APEX 84.9Event APEX 18.33Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5430Pirate Robolution

Season APEX 26Event APEX 14.88Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6619, 253, 11243

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.6 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6619, 253, 11243

Auto

42.9 27%

Teleop

79.2 51%

Endgame

34.7 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7777, 6662, 5430

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7777, 6662, 5430

Auto

23.8 38%

Teleop

30.5 49%

Endgame

8.1 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.25 · Blue 0.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score176.6pts

Blue projected score55.7pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 121
Score range: 30–203
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 152 vs event baseline 144.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

291.1Season APEX146.2

42.9Auto23.8

79.2Teleop30.5

34.7Endgame8.1

76Consistency82

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	10
teleop	59	9
endgame	28	24
foul	0	0
total	109	43

Result

Final score

109 – 43

Prediction correct · off by 40.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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