Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

127.39 – 65.4

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

86 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 20.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 310.1 ±11

1072Harker Robotics

Season APEX 141.9Event APEX 59Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

701RoboVikes

Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 28.42Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5458Digital Minds

Season APEX 73Event APEX 39.97Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 307.1 ±12.1

3189Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 28.49Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11463SHC Robotics

Season APEX 144.2Event APEX 1.52Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8016Eco Robotics

Season APEX 72.6Event APEX 35.39Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1072, 701, 5458

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.4 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1072, 701, 5458

Auto

24.6 21%

Teleop

62.2 52%

Endgame

32.4 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3189, 11463, 8016

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3189, 11463, 8016

Auto

15.3 19%

Teleop

40.6 52%

Endgame

22.8 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.86 · Blue 1.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score127.4pts

Blue projected score65.4pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 62
Score range: 39–153
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 151 vs event baseline 145.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

310.1Season APEX307.1

24.6Auto15.3

62.2Teleop40.6

32.4Endgame22.8

84Consistency88

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	23
teleop	27	14
endgame	30	28
foul	0	0
total	86	65

Result

Final score

86 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 20.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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