Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

168.36 – 261.81

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

59 – 217

Prediction correct · off by 77.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 204.4 ±12.7

1458Red Tie Robotics

Season APEX 81.3Event APEX 82.69Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2141Spartronics

Season APEX 52Event APEX 55.07Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2288Hydra Robotics

Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 30.6Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 337.8 ±12.2

5274Wolverine Robotics

Season APEX 74.8Event APEX 53.79Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5728MC2

Season APEX 47.5Event APEX 45.06Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5507Robotic Eagles

Season APEX 215.5Event APEX 162.96Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1458, 2141, 2288

/ 100 compat

Projected

168.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1458, 2141, 2288

Auto

28.6 18%

Teleop

94.9 61%

Endgame

31.5 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5274, 5728, 5507

/ 100 compat

Projected

261.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5274, 5728, 5507

Auto

29.5 12%

Teleop

139.1 56%

Endgame

79.2 32%

Strengths

· 5507 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.93 · Blue 2.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score168.4pts

Blue projected score261.8pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -93.4
Score range: 142–288
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 276 vs event baseline 145.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

204.4Season APEX337.8

28.6Auto29.5

94.9Teleop139.1

31.5Endgame79.2

18Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	48
teleop	18	146
endgame	15	23
foul	0	0
total	59	217

Result

Final score

59 – 217

Prediction correct · off by 77.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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