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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
CA District Contra Costa Event

Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

178.74 – 67.45

80%20%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

168 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 42.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 431.3 ±11.7
8Paly Robotics
A+
Season APEX 305.7Event APEX 111.08Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
7777Septobots
D
Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 18.88Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
3189Circuit Breakers
C
Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 48.78Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 291.5 ±11
7667OtterBots
B
Season APEX 164.9Event APEX 81.13Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
701RoboVikes
C
Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 22.7Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
5924Golden Gate Robotics
D
Season APEX 31.4Event APEX -36.38Rank 25Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8, 7777, 3189
72
/ 100 compat
Projected
178.7 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 8, 7777, 3189
Auto
47.3 26%
Teleop
112.3 62%
Endgame
22.9 13%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7667, 701, 5924
40
/ 100 compat
Projected
67.4 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 7667, 701, 5924
Auto
23.2 29%
Teleop
25.0 32%
Endgame
30.6 39%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.15 · Blue 0.92
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score178.7pts
Blue projected score67.4pts
Red win probability80%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 51%, blue 48%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
111.3
Score range
41–205
Upset likelihood
20%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 309 vs event baseline 141.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

431.3Season APEX291.5
47.3Auto23.2
112.3Teleop25
22.9Endgame30.6
64Consistency134

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto2753
teleop13267
endgame921
foul00
total168141

Result

Final score

168 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 42.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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