Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

159.5 – 140.01

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

226 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 68.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 354.8 ±11.7

11243Cyber Knights

Season APEX 62.6Event APEX 21.92Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2135Presentation Invasion

Season APEX 151Event APEX 90.39Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1967The Janksters

Season APEX 141.2Event APEX 47.19Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 232.5 ±12.2

253Boba Bots

Season APEX 108Event APEX 57.41Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2288Hydra Robotics

Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 43.82Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

751barn2robotics

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 38.78Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11243, 2135, 1967

/ 100 compat

Projected

159.5 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 11243, 2135, 1967

Auto

39.4 27%

Teleop

83.7 57%

Endgame

24.3 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 253, 2288, 751

/ 100 compat

Projected

140 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 253, 2288, 751

Auto

16.3 12%

Teleop

78.1 57%

Endgame

41.8 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.72 · Blue 1.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score159.5pts

Blue projected score140pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 19.5
Score range: 115–185
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 296 vs event baseline 139.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

354.8Season APEX232.5

39.4Auto16.3

83.7Teleop78.1

24.3Endgame41.8

100Consistency85

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	17
teleop	145	38
endgame	46	15
foul	0	0
total	226	70

Result

Final score

226 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 68.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.