Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

174.51 – 62.48

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

237 – 131

Prediction correct · off by 65.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 407.7 ±11

8048East Palo Alto ChurroBots

Season APEX 181.9Event APEX 69.21Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3189Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 17.49Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7137Project 212

Season APEX 135.5Event APEX 87.81Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 332.1 ±12.2

11463SHC Robotics

Season APEX 144.2Event APEX -2.37Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2135Presentation Invasion

Season APEX 151Event APEX 70.83Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3482Arrowbotics

Season APEX 36.9Event APEX -5.98Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8048, 3189, 7137

/ 100 compat

Projected

174.5 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8048, 3189, 7137

Auto

50.7 33%

Teleop

94.2 61%

Endgame

10.1 7%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11463, 2135, 3482

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.5 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11463, 2135, 3482

Auto

17.3 25%

Teleop

41.0 59%

Endgame

11.5 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.22 · Blue 0.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score174.5pts

Blue projected score62.5pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 112
Score range: 38–199
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 368 vs event baseline 135.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

407.7Season APEX332.1

50.7Auto17.3

94.2Teleop41

10.1Endgame11.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	9
teleop	137	76
endgame	51	46
foul	0	0
total	237	131

Result

Final score

237 – 131

Prediction correct · off by 65.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.