Qualification · Qualification 13
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
82.92 – 95.34
46%54%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
64 – 55
Prediction missed · off by 29.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 207.3 ±13.3
Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 1.87Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 76.1Event APEX 27.13Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 74.8Event APEX 53.92Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 200.3 ±11.6
Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 55.25Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 22Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 18.09Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8840, 3669, 5274
53
/ 100 compatProjected
82.9 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 8840, 3669, 5274
Auto
17.0 21%
Teleop
45.2 56%
Endgame
19.0 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 751, 852, 701
54
/ 100 compatProjected
95.3 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 751, 852, 701
Auto
15.2 14%
Teleop
59.8 57%
Endgame
30.1 29%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.42 · Blue 1.51
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score82.9pts
Blue projected score95.3pts
Red win probability46%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -12.4
- Score range
- 57–121
- Upset likelihood
- 46%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
207.3Season APEX200.3
17Auto15.2
45.2Teleop59.8
19Endgame30.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 21 | 11 |
| teleop | 33 | 20 |
| endgame | 10 | 24 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 64 | 55 |
Result
Final score
64 – 55
Prediction missed · off by 29.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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