Qualification · Qualification 10
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
80.8 – 54.01
58%42%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
189 – 70
Prediction correct · off by 62.1 points
Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 227.4 ±12.8
Season APEX 151Event APEX 46.54Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 14.29Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 41.1Event APEX 19.97Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 270.7 ±12.1
Season APEX 144.2Event APEX -17.18Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 74.8Event APEX 44.73Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 26.46Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2135, 7777, 8404
52
/ 100 compatProjected
80.8 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 2135, 7777, 8404
Auto
18.5 21%
Teleop
49.7 56%
Endgame
19.8 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11463, 5274, 852
46
/ 100 compatProjected
54 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 11463, 5274, 852
Auto
13.5 22%
Teleop
31.7 51%
Endgame
17.2 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.71 · Blue 1.34
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score80.8pts
Blue projected score54pts
Red win probability58%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 51%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 26.8
- Score range
- 28–107
- Upset likelihood
- 42%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
227.4Season APEX270.7
18.5Auto13.5
49.7Teleop31.7
19.8Endgame17.2
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 36 | 19 |
| teleop | 121 | 34 |
| endgame | 32 | 17 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 189 | 70 |
Result
Final score
189 – 70
Prediction correct · off by 62.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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