Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

292.41 – 217.96

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

317 – 181

Prediction correct · off by 30.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 433.8 ±11

751barn2robotics

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 10.39Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5507Robotic Eagles

Season APEX 215.5Event APEX 182.92Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7667OtterBots

Season APEX 164.9Event APEX 99.1Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 313.1 ±12.2

4159CardinalBotics

Season APEX 104.6Event APEX 96.67Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5458Digital Minds

Season APEX 73Event APEX 51.7Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7137Project 212

Season APEX 135.5Event APEX 69.59Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 751, 5507, 7667

/ 100 compat

Projected

292.4 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 751, 5507, 7667

Auto

45.6 16%

Teleop

165.5 58%

Endgame

74.6 26%

Strengths

· 5507 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4159, 5458, 7137

/ 100 compat

Projected

218 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4159, 5458, 7137

Auto

31.2 15%

Teleop

115.1 55%

Endgame

62.3 30%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.98 · Blue 1.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score292.4pts

Blue projected score218pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 74.5
Score range: 190–320
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 498 vs event baseline 155.9.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

433.8Season APEX313.1

45.6Auto31.2

165.5Teleop115.1

74.6Endgame62.3

52Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	30
teleop	183	119
endgame	106	32
foul	0	0
total	317	181

Result

Final score

317 – 181

Prediction correct · off by 30.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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