Final · Finals 2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
326.71 – 239.5
75%25%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
342 – 81
Prediction correct · off by 86.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 616.4 ±9.8
Season APEX 305.7Event APEX 119.29Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 25Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 215.5Event APEX 182.42Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 400.2 ±11
Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 15.37Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 181.9Event APEX 120.56Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 164.9Event APEX 103.57Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8, 701, 5507
80
/ 100 compatProjected
326.7 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 8, 701, 5507
Auto
58.0 18%
Teleop
196.2 61%
Endgame
67.9 21%
Strengths
- · 5507 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 751, 8048, 7667
85
/ 100 compatProjected
239.5 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 751, 8048, 7667
Auto
49.8 21%
Teleop
127.4 55%
Endgame
56.0 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.07 · Blue 1.04
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score326.7pts
Blue projected score239.5pts
Red win probability75%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 49%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 87.2
- Score range
- 212–355
- Upset likelihood
- 25%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
616.4Season APEX400.2
58Auto49.8
196.2Teleop127.4
67.9Endgame56
37Consistency55
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 54 | 24 |
| teleop | 220 | 44 |
| endgame | 68 | 13 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 342 | 81 |
Result
Final score
342 – 81
Prediction correct · off by 86.9 pts
Match videos
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