Final · Finals 1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
320.72 – 240.01
73%27%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
366 – 238
Prediction correct · off by 23.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 616.4 ±9.8
Season APEX 305.7Event APEX 117.3Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 22.99Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 215.5Event APEX 180.43Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 400.2 ±11
Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 15.6Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 181.9Event APEX 120.62Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 164.9Event APEX 103.79Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8, 701, 5507
79
/ 100 compatProjected
320.7 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 8, 701, 5507
Auto
61.5 19%
Teleop
198.6 63%
Endgame
57.6 18%
Strengths
- · 5507 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 751, 8048, 7667
85
/ 100 compatProjected
240 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 751, 8048, 7667
Auto
49.6 21%
Teleop
125.8 54%
Endgame
57.5 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.04 · Blue 1.07
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score320.7pts
Blue projected score240pts
Red win probability73%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 49%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 80.7
- Score range
- 212–349
- Upset likelihood
- 27%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
616.4Season APEX400.2
61.5Auto49.6
198.6Teleop125.8
57.6Endgame57.5
41Consistency49
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 35 | 50 |
| teleop | 181 | 141 |
| endgame | 135 | 47 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 366 | 238 |
Result
Final score
366 – 238
Prediction correct · off by 23.6 pts
Match videos
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