Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
370.15 – 295.21
72%28%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
364 – 254
Prediction correct · off by 23.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 602.6 ±9.9
Season APEX 227.6Event APEX 161.78Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 315Event APEX 162.24Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 60Event APEX 46.13Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 485.7 ±9.9
Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 156.15Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 224.8Event APEX 103.5Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 64.7Event APEX 35.56Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 687, 2073, 1515
79
/ 100 compatProjected
370.2 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 687, 2073, 1515
Auto
62.3 17%
Teleop
226.0 62%
Endgame
74.3 20%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 846, 2637, 8768
82
/ 100 compatProjected
295.2 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 846, 2637, 8768
Auto
59.4 21%
Teleop
160.0 55%
Endgame
69.1 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.1 · Blue 1.24
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score370.2pts
Blue projected score295.2pts
Red win probability72%
Event bonus sample168alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 60%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 74.9
- Score range
- 261–404
- Upset likelihood
- 28%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
602.6Season APEX485.7
62.3Auto59.4
226Teleop160
74.3Endgame69.1
12Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 59 | 68 |
| teleop | 198 | 163 |
| endgame | 92 | 23 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 364 | 254 |
Result
Final score
364 – 254
Prediction correct · off by 23.7 pts
Match videos
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