Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

322.37 – 143.91

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

326 – 170

Prediction correct · off by 14.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 635.8 ±9.9

9706R^3 (Redwood Ranger Robotics)

Season APEX 46.1Event APEX 16.88Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

294Beach Cities Robotics

Season APEX 290.9Event APEX 175.57Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2659RoboWarriors

A+

Season APEX 298.8Event APEX 129.92Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 223.8 ±11

399Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 50.88Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3749Team Optix

Season APEX 90.8Event APEX 40.04Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1622Team Spyder

Season APEX 65.3Event APEX 52.99Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9706, 294, 2659

/ 100 compat

Projected

322.4 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9706, 294, 2659

Auto

62.3 19%

Teleop

187.0 58%

Endgame

72.3 22%

Strengths

· 294 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 399, 3749, 1622

/ 100 compat

Projected

143.9 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 399, 3749, 1622

Auto

31.2 22%

Teleop

76.5 53%

Endgame

36.3 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.4 · Blue 0.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score322.4pts

Blue projected score143.9pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 178.5
Score range: 111–355
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 496 vs event baseline 181.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

635.8Season APEX223.8

62.3Auto31.2

187Teleop76.5

72.3Endgame36.3

32Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	33
teleop	185	44
endgame	98	93
foul	0	0
total	326	170

Result

Final score

326 – 170

Prediction correct · off by 14.9 pts

Match videos

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