Playoff · Playoff Match 12 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

293.11 – 301.69

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

262 – 363

Prediction correct · off by 46.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 485.7 ±9.9

846The Funky Monkeys

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 155.43Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8768CTEC Titans

Season APEX 64.7Event APEX 34.93Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2637Phantom Catz

Season APEX 224.8Event APEX 102.75Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 635.8 ±9.9

9706R^3 (Redwood Ranger Robotics)

Season APEX 46.1Event APEX 9.23Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

294Beach Cities Robotics

Season APEX 290.9Event APEX 169.48Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2659RoboWarriors

A+

Season APEX 298.8Event APEX 122.98Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 846, 8768, 2637

/ 100 compat

Projected

293.1 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 846, 8768, 2637

Auto

63.0 22%

Teleop

160.0 56%

Endgame

61.0 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9706, 294, 2659

/ 100 compat

Projected

301.7 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9706, 294, 2659

Auto

57.3 19%

Teleop

170.3 57%

Endgame

73.8 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.62 · Blue 1.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score293.1pts

Blue projected score301.7pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -8.6
Score range: 258–337
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 625 vs event baseline 192.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

485.7Season APEX635.8

63Auto57.3

160Teleop170.3

61Endgame73.8

0Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	80	75
teleop	134	180
endgame	48	103
foul	0	5
total	262	363

Result

Final score

262 – 363

Prediction correct · off by 46.2 pts

Match videos

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