Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

288.45 – 224.44

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

323 – 223

Prediction correct · off by 18 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 485.7 ±9.9

846The Funky Monkeys

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 154.07Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2637Phantom Catz

Season APEX 224.8Event APEX 101.17Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8768CTEC Titans

Season APEX 64.7Event APEX 33.21Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 427.4 ±10.5

1452Omnicats

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 34.01Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4738Patribots

Season APEX 142.7Event APEX 93.87Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8119TigerBotics

Season APEX 239.4Event APEX 96.56Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 846, 2637, 8768

/ 100 compat

Projected

288.5 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 846, 2637, 8768

Auto

60.7 21%

Teleop

160.9 57%

Endgame

61.3 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1452, 4738, 8119

/ 100 compat

Projected

224.4 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1452, 4738, 8119

Auto

37.4 17%

Teleop

127.1 57%

Endgame

58.5 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.06 · Blue 1.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score288.5pts

Blue projected score224.4pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 64
Score range: 190–322
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 546 vs event baseline 189.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

485.7Season APEX427.4

60.7Auto37.4

160.9Teleop127.1

61.3Endgame58.5

1Consistency51

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	79	54
teleop	155	110
endgame	59	59
foul	30	0
total	323	223

Result

Final score

323 – 223

Prediction correct · off by 18 pts

Match videos

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