Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
117.64 – 128.49
47%53%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
108 – 199
Prediction correct · off by 40.1 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 216.9 ±12.8
Season APEX 27.9Event APEX 48.29Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 7.64Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 142.7Event APEX 61.71Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 637.7 ±9.3
Season APEX 298.8Event APEX 61.71Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 99.5Event APEX 7.64Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 239.4Event APEX 59.14Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2839, 691, 4738
57
/ 100 compatProjected
117.6 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 2839, 691, 4738
Auto
28.9 25%
Teleop
59.1 51%
Endgame
26.9 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2659, 4419, 8119
58
/ 100 compatProjected
128.5 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 2659, 4419, 8119
Auto
28.9 23%
Teleop
69.3 55%
Endgame
27.5 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.55 · Blue 1.77
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score117.6pts
Blue projected score128.5pts
Red win probability47%
Event bonus sample168alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 62%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 7%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -10.9
- Score range
- 85–161
- Upset likelihood
- 47%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
216.9Season APEX637.7
28.9Auto28.9
59.1Teleop69.3
26.9Endgame27.5
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 16 | 21 |
| teleop | 57 | 107 |
| endgame | 35 | 66 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 108 | 199 |
Result
Final score
108 – 199
Prediction correct · off by 40.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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