Qualification · Qualification 68

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

304.08 – 185.23

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

268 – 205

Prediction correct · off by 27.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 571.4 ±9.8

7419TECH Support

Season APEX 165.6Event APEX 96.17Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3749Team Optix

Season APEX 90.8Event APEX 43.13Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2073EagleForce

A+

Season APEX 315Event APEX 164.78Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 410.6 ±11.7

1515MorTorq

Season APEX 60Event APEX 41.16Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6658Rockbotics

Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 14.63Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2659RoboWarriors

A+

Season APEX 298.8Event APEX 129.44Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7419, 3749, 2073

/ 100 compat

Projected

304.1 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7419, 3749, 2073

Auto

52.0 18%

Teleop

173.9 59%

Endgame

70.9 24%

Strengths

· 2073 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1515, 6658, 2659

/ 100 compat

Projected

185.2 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1515, 6658, 2659

Auto

30.9 17%

Teleop

106.9 60%

Endgame

41.2 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.3 · Blue 1.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score304.1pts

Blue projected score185.2pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 118.9
Score range: 153–336
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 473 vs event baseline 180.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

571.4Season APEX410.6

52Auto30.9

173.9Teleop106.9

70.9Endgame41.2

44Consistency51

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	70	36
teleop	164	122
endgame	29	47
foul	5	0
total	268	205

Result

Final score

268 – 205

Prediction correct · off by 27.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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