Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

122.84 – 181.55

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

197 – 253

Prediction correct · off by 72.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 231.9 ±11.6

4419Team Rewind

Season APEX 99.5Event APEX 47.98Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

399Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 44.42Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8768CTEC Titans

Season APEX 64.7Event APEX 30.44Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 407.4 ±11.7

5869QHHS Aqueducks

Season APEX 61.5Event APEX 31.49Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8119TigerBotics

Season APEX 239.4Event APEX 89.08Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

980ThunderBots

Season APEX 106.5Event APEX 60.98Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4419, 399, 8768

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4419, 399, 8768

Auto

31.5 26%

Teleop

61.2 50%

Endgame

28.8 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5869, 8119, 980

/ 100 compat

Projected

181.5 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5869, 8119, 980

Auto

43.4 24%

Teleop

90.2 50%

Endgame

46.4 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.25 · Blue 2.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score122.8pts

Blue projected score181.5pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -58.7
Score range: 91–214
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 450 vs event baseline 179.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

231.9Season APEX407.4

31.5Auto43.4

61.2Teleop90.2

28.8Endgame46.4

39Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	38
teleop	79	158
endgame	83	57
foul	0	0
total	197	253

Result

Final score

197 – 253

Prediction correct · off by 72.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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