Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

152.8 – 328

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

193 – 373

Prediction correct · off by 42.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 252.7 ±12.2

4738Patribots

Season APEX 142.7Event APEX 95.05Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1452Omnicats

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 38.34Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9615Redlands Robotics

Season APEX 64.7Event APEX 19.41Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 555 ±10.7

846The Funky Monkeys

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 152.79Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11096Δt

Season APEX 67.9Event APEX 9.04Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

294Beach Cities Robotics

Season APEX 290.9Event APEX 166.17Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4738, 1452, 9615

/ 100 compat

Projected

152.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4738, 1452, 9615

Auto

26.9 18%

Teleop

76.8 53%

Endgame

42.5 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 846, 11096, 294

/ 100 compat

Projected

328 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 846, 11096, 294

Auto

64.9 20%

Teleop

181.3 56%

Endgame

76.4 24%

Strengths

· 294 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.82 · Blue 2.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score152.8pts

Blue projected score328pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -175.2
Score range: 121–360
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 566 vs event baseline 177.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

252.7Season APEX555

26.9Auto64.9

76.8Teleop181.3

42.5Endgame76.4

24Consistency79

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	60
teleop	81	210
endgame	59	103
foul	0	0
total	193	373

Result

Final score

193 – 373

Prediction correct · off by 42.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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