Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

161.26 – 56.4

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

230 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 56.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 336.4 ±11.2

691Project 691 Robotics

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 14.53Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2637Phantom Catz

Season APEX 224.8Event APEX 99.15Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1622Team Spyder

Season APEX 65.3Event APEX 47.58Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 181.8 ±12.8

2839Daedalus

Season APEX 27.9Event APEX -15.08Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2543TitanBot

Season APEX 76.1Event APEX 37.74Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7607The Blackbirds

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 33.74Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 691, 2637, 1622

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.3 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 691, 2637, 1622

Auto

32.2 21%

Teleop

90.1 58%

Endgame

33.4 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2839, 2543, 7607

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2839, 2543, 7607

Auto

19.7 36%

Teleop

21.6 40%

Endgame

12.9 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.25 · Blue 1.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score161.3pts

Blue projected score56.4pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 104.9
Score range: 24–193
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 330 vs event baseline 178.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

336.4Season APEX181.8

32.2Auto19.7

90.1Teleop21.6

33.4Endgame12.9

21Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	64	39
teleop	126	40
endgame	40	21
foul	0	0
total	230	100

Result

Final score

230 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 56.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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