Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

156.71 – 167.05

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

160 – 190

Prediction correct · off by 13.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 441.6 ±10.5

2659RoboWarriors

A+

Season APEX 298.8Event APEX 130.83Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9706R^3 (Redwood Ranger Robotics)

Season APEX 46.1Event APEX 17.59Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2404Team NEY Techs (TNT)

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 8.29Rank 34Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 383.9 ±12.4

8119TigerBotics

Season APEX 239.4Event APEX 88.58Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3863Pantherbotics

Season APEX 80Event APEX 64.73Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3341Option 16

Season APEX 64.5Event APEX 13.74Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2659, 9706, 2404

/ 100 compat

Projected

156.7 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 2659, 9706, 2404

Auto

32.5 21%

Teleop

80.7 51%

Endgame

44.6 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8119, 3863, 3341

/ 100 compat

Projected

167.1 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8119, 3863, 3341

Auto

27.7 17%

Teleop

98.3 59%

Endgame

41.0 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.48 · Blue 1.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score156.7pts

Blue projected score167.1pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -10.3
Score range: 125–199
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 350 vs event baseline 178.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

441.6Season APEX383.9

32.5Auto27.7

80.7Teleop98.3

44.6Endgame41

10Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	47
teleop	78	102
endgame	57	41
foul	0	0
total	160	190

Result

Final score

160 – 190

Prediction correct · off by 13.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.