Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

108.01 – 307.87

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

127 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 43.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 224.2 ±12.2

4419Team Rewind

Season APEX 99.5Event APEX 47.45Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9615Redlands Robotics

Season APEX 64.7Event APEX 18.82Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1515MorTorq

Season APEX 60Event APEX 41.74Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 622.8 ±9.8

589Falkon Robotics

Season APEX 186.8Event APEX 46.74Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

696Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 145.1Event APEX 87.86Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

294Beach Cities Robotics

Season APEX 290.9Event APEX 173.27Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4419, 9615, 1515

/ 100 compat

Projected

108 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4419, 9615, 1515

Auto

21.6 21%

Teleop

53.6 52%

Endgame

27.5 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 589, 696, 294

/ 100 compat

Projected

307.9 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 589, 696, 294

Auto

54.8 18%

Teleop

177.3 58%

Endgame

75.0 24%

Strengths

· 294 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.78 · Blue 2.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score108pts

Blue projected score307.9pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -199.9
Score range: 76–340
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 366 vs event baseline 178.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

224.2Season APEX622.8

21.6Auto54.8

53.6Teleop177.3

27.5Endgame75

81Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	61
teleop	65	119
endgame	30	59
foul	0	0
total	127	239

Result

Final score

127 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 43.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.