Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

251.64 – 78.57

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

266 – 124

Prediction correct · off by 29.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 480.3 ±10.7

2637Phantom Catz

Season APEX 224.8Event APEX 98.77Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

687The Nerd Herd

Season APEX 227.6Event APEX 168.52Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2839Daedalus

Season APEX 27.9Event APEX -15.65Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 228.5 ±12.8

2404Team NEY Techs (TNT)

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 4.76Rank 34Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6658Rockbotics

Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 13.56Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3863Pantherbotics

Season APEX 80Event APEX 60.25Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2637, 687, 2839

/ 100 compat

Projected

251.6 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 2637, 687, 2839

Auto

47.5 19%

Teleop

149.2 60%

Endgame

51.5 21%

Strengths

· 687 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2404, 6658, 3863

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.6 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2404, 6658, 3863

Auto

4.8 7%

Teleop

44.1 62%

Endgame

22.6 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.44 · Blue 0.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score251.6pts

Blue projected score78.6pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 173.1
Score range: 47–284
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 390 vs event baseline 177.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

480.3Season APEX228.5

47.5Auto4.8

149.2Teleop44.1

51.5Endgame22.6

32Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	62	13
teleop	176	74
endgame	13	37
foul	15	0
total	266	124

Result

Final score

266 – 124

Prediction correct · off by 29.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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