Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

260.28 – 39.8

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

327 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 50.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 489.2 ±11.1

980ThunderBots

Season APEX 106.5Event APEX 58.64Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

399Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 39.95Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2073EagleForce

A+

Season APEX 315Event APEX 161.69Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 145.1 ±15.3

11096Δt

Season APEX 67.9Event APEX 6.75Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

1452Omnicats

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 35.44Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9471EF Academy

Season APEX 31.9Event APEX -2.39Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 980, 399, 2073

/ 100 compat

Projected

260.3 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 980, 399, 2073

Auto

51.8 21%

Teleop

128.5 52%

Endgame

69.2 28%

Strengths

· 2073 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11096, 1452, 9471

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.8 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 11096, 1452, 9471

Auto

13.9 39%

Teleop

12.3 35%

Endgame

9.2 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.51 · Blue 0.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score260.3pts

Blue projected score39.8pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 220.5
Score range: 8–292
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 401 vs event baseline 177.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

489.2Season APEX145.1

51.8Auto13.9

128.5Teleop12.3

69.2Endgame9.2

9Consistency72

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	20
teleop	223	36
endgame	56	18
foul	0	0
total	327	74

Result

Final score

327 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 50.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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