Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

63.85 – 50.14

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

109 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 48.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 194.1 ±13.3

691Project 691 Robotics

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 7.83Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6060Circuit Serpents

Season APEX 71.7Event APEX 23.09Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2543TitanBot

Season APEX 76.1Event APEX 32.93Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 193.9 ±13.3

8768CTEC Titans

Season APEX 64.7Event APEX 23.64Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9615Redlands Robotics

Season APEX 64.7Event APEX 14.76Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3341Option 16

Season APEX 64.5Event APEX 11.74Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 691, 6060, 2543

/ 100 compat

Projected

63.9 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 691, 6060, 2543

Auto

24.9 39%

Teleop

18.1 28%

Endgame

21.1 33%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8768, 9615, 3341

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.1 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 8768, 9615, 3341

Auto

23.6 51%

Teleop

17.1 37%

Endgame

5.8 12%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.75 · Blue 1.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score63.9pts

Blue projected score50.1pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 13.7
Score range: 18–96
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 211 vs event baseline 178.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

194.1Season APEX193.9

24.9Auto23.6

18.1Teleop17.1

21.1Endgame5.8

58Consistency7

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	34
teleop	57	44
endgame	34	24
foul	0	0
total	109	102

Result

Final score

109 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 48.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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