Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

227.13 – 132.6

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

130 – 136

Prediction missed · off by 50.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 250.4 ±11.6

1452Omnicats

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 66.77Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

696Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 145.1Event APEX 100.19Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1515MorTorq

Season APEX 60Event APEX 60.17Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 263.7 ±12.8

6658Rockbotics

Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 33.25Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

691Project 691 Robotics

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX -4.94Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7419TECH Support

Season APEX 165.6Event APEX 104.29Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1452, 696, 1515

/ 100 compat

Projected

227.1 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1452, 696, 1515

Auto

42.4 19%

Teleop

130.9 58%

Endgame

52.1 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6658, 691, 7419

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6658, 691, 7419

Auto

30.5 24%

Teleop

74.2 58%

Endgame

22.3 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.15 · Blue 1.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score227.1pts

Blue projected score132.6pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 94.5
Score range: 101–259
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 266 vs event baseline 178.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

250.4Season APEX263.7

42.4Auto30.5

130.9Teleop74.2

52.1Endgame22.3

53Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	38
teleop	72	79
endgame	33	19
foul	0	0
total	130	136

Result

Final score

130 – 136

Prediction missed · off by 50.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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