Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

121.87 – 117.34

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

75 – 202

Prediction missed · off by 65.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 184 ±11.7

1622Team Spyder

Season APEX 65.3Event APEX 86.01Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2839Daedalus

Season APEX 27.9Event APEX -0.04Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3749Team Optix

Season APEX 90.8Event APEX 35.9Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 228.5 ±12.7

1452Omnicats

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 50.79Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5012Gryffingear

Season APEX 103.2Event APEX 21.72Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3863Pantherbotics

Season APEX 80Event APEX 44.83Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1622, 2839, 3749

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.9 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1622, 2839, 3749

Auto

23.1 18%

Teleop

87.1 67%

Endgame

20.4 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1452, 5012, 3863

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.3 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 1452, 5012, 3863

Auto

19.7 17%

Teleop

50.4 45%

Endgame

43.1 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.64 · Blue 1.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score121.9pts

Blue projected score117.3pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 4.5
Score range: 85–154
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 277 vs event baseline 179.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

184Season APEX228.5

23.1Auto19.7

87.1Teleop50.4

20.4Endgame43.1

95Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	28
teleop	31	138
endgame	30	36
foul	0	0
total	75	202

Result

Final score

75 – 202

Prediction missed · off by 65.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.