Qualification · Qualification 34
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
118.91 – 302.5
9%91%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
84 – 458
Prediction correct · off by 95.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 187.8 ±13.9
Season APEX 61.5Event APEX 45.24Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 11.11Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 80Event APEX 62.56Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 719.8 ±8.7
Season APEX 298.8Event APEX 114.34Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 224.8Event APEX 93.96Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 94.2Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5869, 691, 3863
45
/ 100 compatProjected
118.9 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 5869, 691, 3863
Auto
12.6 11%
Teleop
71.3 60%
Endgame
35.1 29%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2659, 2637, 846
83
/ 100 compatProjected
302.5 pts
~2.6 RP (district)
Teams: 2659, 2637, 846
Auto
62.8 21%
Teleop
155.5 53%
Endgame
74.3 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.88 · Blue 2.56
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score118.9pts
Blue projected score302.5pts
Red win probability9%
Event bonus sample168alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 65%, blue 61%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 11%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -183.6
- Score range
- 87–335
- Upset likelihood
- 9%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
187.8Season APEX719.8
12.6Auto62.8
71.3Teleop155.5
35.1Endgame74.3
7Consistency44
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 24 | 97 |
| teleop | 43 | 252 |
| endgame | 12 | 89 |
| foul | 5 | 20 |
| total | 84 | 458 |
Result
Final score
84 – 458
Prediction correct · off by 95.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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