Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

68.93 – 183.72

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

27 – 249

Prediction correct · off by 53.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 184.2 ±13.3

9615Redlands Robotics

Season APEX 64.7Event APEX 13.98Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6658Rockbotics

Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 25.82Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

399Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 29.13Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 334.1 ±11

5012Gryffingear

Season APEX 103.2Event APEX 15.61Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1622Team Spyder

Season APEX 65.3Event APEX 75.57Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7419TECH Support

Season APEX 165.6Event APEX 92.54Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9615, 6658, 399

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.9 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9615, 6658, 399

Auto

12.9 22%

Teleop

34.7 60%

Endgame

10.1 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5012, 1622, 7419

/ 100 compat

Projected

183.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5012, 1622, 7419

Auto

43.8 24%

Teleop

78.2 42%

Endgame

64.3 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1 · Blue 2.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score68.9pts

Blue projected score183.7pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -114.8
Score range: 37–216
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 276 vs event baseline 178.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

184.2Season APEX334.1

12.9Auto43.8

34.7Teleop78.2

10.1Endgame64.3

58Consistency83

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	60
teleop	0	154
endgame	13	35
foul	0	0
total	27	249

Result

Final score

27 – 249

Prediction correct · off by 53.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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