Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

179.31 – 244.98

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

279 – 242

Prediction missed · off by 51.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 481.9 ±10.7

8119TigerBotics

Season APEX 239.4Event APEX 114.99Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

846The Funky Monkeys

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 69.08Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

691Project 691 Robotics

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX -4.76Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 470.4 ±11.2

7419TECH Support

Season APEX 165.6Event APEX 89.79Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3863Pantherbotics

Season APEX 80Event APEX 70.04Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2637Phantom Catz

Season APEX 224.8Event APEX 85.15Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8119, 846, 691

/ 100 compat

Projected

179.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 8119, 846, 691

Auto

30.1 17%

Teleop

101.9 58%

Endgame

44.3 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7419, 3863, 2637

/ 100 compat

Projected

245 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7419, 3863, 2637

Auto

32.2 14%

Teleop

156.1 67%

Endgame

43.0 19%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.32 · Blue 2.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score179.3pts

Blue projected score245pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -65.7
Score range: 147–277
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 521 vs event baseline 179.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

481.9Season APEX470.4

30.1Auto32.2

101.9Teleop156.1

44.3Endgame43

69Consistency84

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	52	16
teleop	168	119
endgame	59	102
foul	0	5
total	279	242

Result

Final score

279 – 242

Prediction missed · off by 51.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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