Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 267.02

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

101 – 308

Prediction correct · off by 71 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 172.7 ±15.8

9471EF Academy

Season APEX 31.9Event APEX -30.59Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

2543TitanBot

Season APEX 76.1Event APEX 10.74Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9615Redlands Robotics

Season APEX 64.7Event APEX -6.72Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 338.2 ±10.5

1452Omnicats

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 40.66Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1622Team Spyder

Season APEX 65.3Event APEX 73.21Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

687The Nerd Herd

Season APEX 227.6Event APEX 153.15Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9471, 2543, 9615

/ 100 compat

Projected

-26.6 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9471, 2543, 9615

Auto

9.0 0%

Teleop

-29.3 100%

Endgame

-4.5 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1452, 1622, 687

/ 100 compat

Projected

267 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1452, 1622, 687

Auto

52.0 20%

Teleop

165.6 62%

Endgame

48.0 18%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.64 · Blue 2.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score-26.6pts

Blue projected score267pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -267
Score range: -32–299
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 409 vs event baseline 178.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

172.7Season APEX338.2

9Auto52

-29.3Teleop165.6

-4.5Endgame48

65Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	59
teleop	44	195
endgame	14	54
foul	15	0
total	101	308

Result

Final score

101 – 308

Prediction correct · off by 71 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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