Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

99.74 – 177.01

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

261 – 88

Prediction missed · off by 125.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 407.4 ±11.7

6658Rockbotics

Season APEX 51.8Event APEX -3.94Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

294Beach Cities Robotics

Season APEX 290.9Event APEX 83.15Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8768CTEC Titans

Season APEX 64.7Event APEX 20.53Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 119.3 ±12.7

9706R^3 (Redwood Ranger Robotics)

Season APEX 46.1Event APEX 91.23Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1452Omnicats

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 77.82Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2839Daedalus

Season APEX 27.9Event APEX 7.96Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6658, 294, 8768

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.7 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6658, 294, 8768

Auto

18.4 22%

Teleop

50.6 60%

Endgame

14.9 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9706, 1452, 2839

/ 100 compat

Projected

177 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9706, 1452, 2839

Auto

29.6 17%

Teleop

112.2 63%

Endgame

34.9 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.2 · Blue 1.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score99.7pts

Blue projected score177pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -77.3
Score range: 68–209
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 349 vs event baseline 176.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

407.4Season APEX119.3

18.4Auto29.6

50.6Teleop112.2

14.9Endgame34.9

44Consistency93

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	20
teleop	164	44
endgame	42	24
foul	0	0
total	261	88

Result

Final score

261 – 88

Prediction missed · off by 125.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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