Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

13.34 – 83.24

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

35 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 14.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 329.8 ±11.7

589Falkon Robotics

Season APEX 186.8Event APEX 30.11Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2404Team NEY Techs (TNT)

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 6.4Rank 34Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

691Project 691 Robotics

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX -23.17Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 217.2 ±11.6

399Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 33.99Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7607The Blackbirds

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 58.75Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6060Circuit Serpents

Season APEX 71.7Event APEX -9.5Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 589, 2404, 691

/ 100 compat

Projected

13.3 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 589, 2404, 691

Auto

12.7 100%

Teleop

-5.2 0%

Endgame

0.2 3%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 399, 7607, 6060

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.2 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 399, 7607, 6060

Auto

21.4 26%

Teleop

27.6 34%

Endgame

32.9 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.19 · Blue 2.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score13.3pts

Blue projected score83.2pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -69.9
Score range: -18–114
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 111 vs event baseline 174.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

329.8Season APEX217.2

12.7Auto21.4

-5.2Teleop27.6

0.2Endgame32.9

210Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	25
teleop	15	40
endgame	14	11
foul	0	0
total	35	76

Result

Final score

35 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 14.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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