Qualification · Qualification 2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
138.56 – 180.93
37%63%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
169 – 231
Prediction correct · off by 40.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 237.6 ±12.7
Season APEX 27.9Event APEX -10.26Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 106.5Event APEX 67.83Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 103.2Event APEX 80.99Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 301.7 ±12.2
Season APEX 165.6Event APEX 100.95Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 60Event APEX 35.15Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 76.1Event APEX 44.83Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2839, 980, 5012
53
/ 100 compatProjected
138.6 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 2839, 980, 5012
Auto
40.1 29%
Teleop
67.6 50%
Endgame
28.8 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7419, 1515, 2543
64
/ 100 compatProjected
180.9 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 7419, 1515, 2543
Auto
47.1 27%
Teleop
89.3 51%
Endgame
39.1 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.4 · Blue 1.88
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score138.6pts
Blue projected score180.9pts
Red win probability37%
Event bonus sample168alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 59%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -42.4
- Score range
- 104–216
- Upset likelihood
- 37%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
237.6Season APEX301.7
40.1Auto47.1
67.6Teleop89.3
28.8Endgame39.1
47Consistency67
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 39 | 38 |
| teleop | 92 | 131 |
| endgame | 38 | 62 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 169 | 231 |
Result
Final score
169 – 231
Prediction correct · off by 40.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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