Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

123.83 – 181.44

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

249 – 57

Prediction missed · off by 124.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 351.5 ±11.2

846The Funky Monkeys

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 20.61Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3749Team Optix

Season APEX 90.8Event APEX 54.61Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3341Option 16

Season APEX 64.5Event APEX 48.61Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 258.2 ±12.8

9615Redlands Robotics

Season APEX 64.7Event APEX 27.33Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7419TECH Support

Season APEX 165.6Event APEX 104.13Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2839Daedalus

Season APEX 27.9Event APEX 49.98Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 846, 3749, 3341

/ 100 compat

Projected

123.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 846, 3749, 3341

Auto

35.7 33%

Teleop

60.4 56%

Endgame

12.5 12%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9615, 7419, 2839

/ 100 compat

Projected

181.4 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9615, 7419, 2839

Auto

34.7 20%

Teleop

99.3 56%

Endgame

42.8 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.33 · Blue 1.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score123.8pts

Blue projected score181.4pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -57.6
Score range: 92–213
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 306 vs event baseline 175.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

351.5Season APEX258.2

35.7Auto34.7

60.4Teleop99.3

12.5Endgame42.8

120Consistency121

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	16
teleop	130	39
endgame	66	2
foul	0	0
total	249	57

Result

Final score

249 – 57

Prediction missed · off by 124.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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