Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

156.06 – 204.98

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

78 – 293

Prediction correct · off by 83 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 160.1 ±12.7

399Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 76.78Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9706R^3 (Redwood Ranger Robotics)

Season APEX 46.1Event APEX 101.33Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

691Project 691 Robotics

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX -22.05Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 452 ±10.5

2073EagleForce

A+

Season APEX 315Event APEX 148.06Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6060Circuit Serpents

Season APEX 71.7Event APEX 27.02Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1622Team Spyder

Season APEX 65.3Event APEX 29.9Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 399, 9706, 691

/ 100 compat

Projected

156.1 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 399, 9706, 691

Auto

26.6 16%

Teleop

96.3 58%

Endgame

44.1 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2073, 6060, 1622

/ 100 compat

Projected

205 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2073, 6060, 1622

Auto

35.7 17%

Teleop

137.8 65%

Endgame

38.4 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.24 · Blue 1.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score156.1pts

Blue projected score205pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -48.9
Score range: 126–235
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 371 vs event baseline 166.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

160.1Season APEX452

26.6Auto35.7

96.3Teleop137.8

44.1Endgame38.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	60
teleop	48	150
endgame	20	78
foul	0	5
total	78	293

Result

Final score

78 – 293

Prediction correct · off by 83 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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