Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

237.93 – 187.15

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

104 – 268

Prediction missed · off by 107.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 406.9 ±11.7

687The Nerd Herd

Season APEX 227.6Event APEX 128.59Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5012Gryffingear

Season APEX 103.2Event APEX 60.56Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2543TitanBot

Season APEX 76.1Event APEX 48.78Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 475.2 ±10.5

294Beach Cities Robotics

Season APEX 290.9Event APEX 103.24Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7607The Blackbirds

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 46.51Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

980ThunderBots

Season APEX 106.5Event APEX 37.4Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 687, 5012, 2543

/ 100 compat

Projected

237.9 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 687, 5012, 2543

Auto

48.3 20%

Teleop

143.0 59%

Endgame

49.4 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 294, 7607, 980

/ 100 compat

Projected

187.2 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 294, 7607, 980

Auto

35.7 19%

Teleop

100.0 53%

Endgame

53.0 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.02 · Blue 1.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score237.9pts

Blue projected score187.2pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 50.8
Score range: 157–268
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 372 vs event baseline 164.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

406.9Season APEX475.2

48.3Auto35.7

143Teleop100

49.4Endgame53

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	76
teleop	26	127
endgame	29	45
foul	0	20
total	104	268

Result

Final score

104 – 268

Prediction missed · off by 107.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.