Qualification · Qualification 13
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
168.78 – 18.68
87%13%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
168 – 192
Prediction missed · off by 87.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 307.6 ±11
Season APEX 165.6Event APEX 89.73Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 0.74Rank 34Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 78.31Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 366.3 ±11.7
Season APEX 99.5Event APEX 6.27Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 186.8Event APEX 32.1Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 80Event APEX -19.69Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7419, 2404, 1452
69
/ 100 compatProjected
168.8 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 7419, 2404, 1452
Auto
34.3 20%
Teleop
88.0 52%
Endgame
46.0 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4419, 589, 3863
12
/ 100 compatProjected
18.7 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 4419, 589, 3863
Auto
0.6 5%
Teleop
-7.7 0%
Endgame
18.9 100%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.31 · Blue 0.95
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score168.8pts
Blue projected score18.7pts
Red win probability87%
Event bonus sample168alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 63%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 150.1
- Score range
- -12–200
- Upset likelihood
- 13%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
307.6Season APEX366.3
34.3Auto0.6
88Teleop-7.7
46Endgame18.9
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 40 | 13 |
| teleop | 96 | 106 |
| endgame | 17 | 58 |
| foul | 15 | 15 |
| total | 168 | 192 |
Result
Final score
168 – 192
Prediction missed · off by 87.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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