Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

174.77 – 173.06

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

158 – 202

Prediction missed · off by 22.9 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 271.1 ±12.8

696Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 145.1Event APEX 62.31Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3341Option 16

Season APEX 64.5Event APEX 43.65Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5869QHHS Aqueducks

Season APEX 61.5Event APEX 68.81Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 470 ±11.7

2073EagleForce

A+

Season APEX 315Event APEX 112.23Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5012Gryffingear

Season APEX 103.2Event APEX 57.86Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6658Rockbotics

Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 2.97Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 696, 3341, 5869

/ 100 compat

Projected

174.8 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 696, 3341, 5869

Auto

22.6 13%

Teleop

114.3 65%

Endgame

39.5 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2073, 5012, 6658

/ 100 compat

Projected

173.1 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2073, 5012, 6658

Auto

27.4 16%

Teleop

116.2 67%

Endgame

30.4 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.72 · Blue 1.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score174.8pts

Blue projected score173.1pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 1.7
Score range: 144–204
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 360 vs event baseline 159.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

271.1Season APEX470

22.6Auto27.4

114.3Teleop116.2

39.5Endgame30.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	35
teleop	74	99
endgame	35	68
foul	0	0
total	158	202

Result

Final score

158 – 202

Prediction missed · off by 22.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.